Reply To: Deadly collateral consequences of the “non-punitive” sex offender registry


That is good that your government reduced your risk level, George. But I don’t think the government, or even any “doctor” for that matter, is supposed to be using the Static-99R for any person who has been offense-free in the community for more than two years. So the fact that the government is even imposing the Static-99R on any person after two years in the community — and especially after five years offense-free in the community — is particularly dubious. The Static developers specifically state that the estimates are only “valid for approximately two years.” Refer to page 13 of the Coding Rules:

“Static risk assessments estimate the likelihood of recidivism at the time of release and we expect they would be valid for approximately two years.” Also, ostensible “risk” halves for every five years. Read for yourself at page 13.

Also, how did your Static-99R change? The risk factors are taken at a point in time, right before your release. And the risk estimates only claim prediction *from the time a person is released from jail or prison.* It is not an ongoing, dynamic assessment.

Anyway, it’s such a shame that I share the same first name as Karl “Fake Doctor” Hanson.